Thinking, Fast and Slow (65 page)

premortem

pretentiousness language

pricing policies

priming; anchoring as

questionnaire and gift experiments

questions; substitution of,
see
substitution

Rabin, Matthew

radiologists

rafters, skilled

rail projects

randomness and chance; misconceptions of
Random Walk Down Wall Street, A
(Malkiel)

rare events; overestimation of; regret and

rational-agent model

rationality

Rationality and the Reflective Mind
(Stanovich)

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rats

Reagan, Ronald

reciprocal priming

recognition

recognition-primed decision (RPD) model

Redelmeier, Don

reference class forecasting

regression to the mean; causal interpretations and; correlation and; difficulty in grasping; two-systems view of

“Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature” (Galton)

regret

religion

remembering self

Remote Association Test (RAT)

reorganizations in companies

repetition

representativeness; base rates and;
see also
base rates; in Linda problem; predicting by; professional stereotypes and; sins of; in Tom W problem

research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in

resemblance; in predictions

resilience

responsibility

retrievability of instances

reversals; unjust

rewards; self-administered

Rice, Condoleezza

risk assessment; aggregation and; broad framing in; decision weights in,
see
decision weights; denominator neglect and; by experts; and format of risk expression; fourfold pattern in; for health risks; hindsight bias and; laws and regulations governing; loss aversion in; narrow framing in; optimistic bias and; policies for; possibility effect and; precautionary principle and; probability neglect and; public policies and; small risks and; of technologies; terrorism and;
see also
gambles

risk aversion

risk seeking

“Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making, The” (Dawes)

Rosett, Richard

Rosenzweig, Philip

Royal Dutch Shell

Royal Institution

Rozin, Paul

< Philip

Rumsfeld, Donald

Russell Sage Foundation

Russia

Saddam Hussein

sadness

safety; health risks and; health violation penalties and; precautionary principle and

samples, sampling: accidents of; and bias of confidence over doubt; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; size of; small, exaggerated faith in

Samuelson, Paul

San Francisco Exploratorium

Savage, Jimmie

Save More Tomorrow

Schelling, Thomas

Schkade, David

school size

Schwarz, Norbert

Schweitzer, Maurice

Science

Scientific American

scientific controversies

scientific research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in

Scottish Parliament

self-control

self-criticism

Seligman, Martin

selves; experiencing; remembering

sets

Shafir, Eldar

similarity judgments

Simmel, Mary-Ann

Simon, Herbert

Simons, Daniel

Simpson, O. J.

single evaluations; joint evaluations vs.

ski jump event

skills; acquisition of; environment of; feedback and practice in; illusions of; in stock-picking

Slovic, Paul

Slovic, Roz

slow thinking

smiles, in face reading

smiling; availability heuristic and

Smith, Vernon

socializing

social science

Soll, Jack

somatic marker hypothesis

soul

Sources of Power
(Klein)

Soviet Union

Spinoza, Baruch

Sports Illustrated

Stalin, Joseph

Standard & Poor’s (S&P)

Stanford University

Stanovich, Keith

statistics and statistical thinking; and accidents of sampling; base rates and,
see
base rates; Bayesian; and bias of confidence over doubt; causes and; chance in; deciding on size of sample; extreme outcomes and; faith in small samples; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; sample size decisions and;
see also
probability

status quo, defending

Steiger, James H.

stereotypes; causal; about professions

Steve the librarian

stock market

stock picking

stock portfolios

stock trading, insider

Stone, Arthur

stories, life

St. Petersburg paradox

Strack, Fritz

strangers, assessment of

Strangers to Ourselves
(Wilson)

Streep, Meryl

strength, assessments of

structured settlements

Stumbling to Happiness
(Gilbert)

substitution; and mood heuristic for happiness; and 3-D heuristic

success, uot

sum-like variables

sunk-cost fallacy

Sunstein, Cass

Super Bowl

supply and demand

surgeons

Surowiecki, James

surprise

survey and gift experiments

survival-mortality experiment

symbols

System 1; characteristics of; conflict between System 2 and

System 2; conflict between System 1 and; laziness of

Taleb, Nassim

talent

task sets

task switching

Tate, Geoffrey

taxes; child exemptions and

temperament

temptation

Tenet, George

terrorism

Tetlock, Philip

Thaler, Richard

theory-induced blindness

therapists

thinking like a trader

Thomas, Lewis

threats; possibility effect and

3-D heuristic

tickets; buying and selling of; sunk cost in

time; use of

time pressure

Todorov, Alex

token experiment

Tom W problem

“Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth” (Barber and Odean)

transactions and trades

Traviata, La
(Verdi)